DC Chip Capacitor Market Forecast

Given that the production of DC chip capacitors continues to grow at an annual rate of 15%, it is reasonable to assume that this growth rate will be maintained before 2010. Although the Delphi forecasting method suggests this, advanced forecasting techniques such as the Box-Jenkins method also indicate that this is the only segment of the film capacitor market that will sustain growth. The main reasons are as follows:  diode

Currently, 92% of the world's production of DC film capacitors adopts radial or axial lead designs. In contrast, other dielectrics such as ceramic capacitors and tantalum capacitors exhibit the opposite trend, with 90% of their output being surface-mounted and only 10% featuring axial or radial lead designs. The sister market of DC film capacitors—aluminum electrolytic capacitors—is experiencing similar growth and undergoing the same transformation, with V-chip aluminum capacitors replacing older radial lead products.diode

From a structural perspective, DC film chip capacitors using PEN, PPS, and PET appear to be the primary growth products in the next five years. Lead-type capacitors, primarily radial lead capacitors, universal 5mm PET film capacitors, and X/Y radial lead capacitors will decline, as will the AC and pulse markets for CRT demagnetization circuits. Consequently, most film capacitor suppliers are focusing on film chip capacitors, as this is the fastest-growing segment. Based on distributor pricing levels, NPO ceramic capacitors will account for 30% of SMD chip capacitors, limiting this market to high-end audio and video imaging circuits, power supplies/voltage regulators, and automotive electronic components, where the properties of film capacitors are critically essential in the circuits.diode